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Posts Tagged: Futurism

The bad guy isn’t technology, it’s our inexperience

The topic of discussion on NPR this morning was E-Memory and Human Nature. They were discussing how the future prevalence of large-scale computing power and massive storage (resulting in the storing of our memories, events in our lives, etc) will change human nature and what it means to be human.

One of the guests, and most of the callers, were worried about offloading our memories and processing power to a machine. They feared it would turn us into organisms with a powerful brain but with nothing to do; they feared the repercussions would make us less human.

What I think they’re missing is that humans are inherently creative and curious. If we have more free space in our heads and more free time on our hands, we’re not going to waste it away with pointless activities (at least not for very long); we’ll gravitate towards being more creative and exploring areas of life that would otherwise have not been within reach.

The acceptance of mundane tasks and jobs as a part of our daily lives slows the progress of human civilization. While there are many socially, physically, and even culturally harmful effects of technology today, I think they can be directly attributed to the fact that this stuff is so damn new to us.

Humankind has never seen technology of today’s complexity, at least not in recorded history. We have no idea how to cope with the changes technology is bringing about and so, like a baby learning to walk, we’re bound to make mistakes and do things that make technology appear like the bad guy (and in many cases it is the bad guy; we just haven’t figured out how to use it properly yet).

Finding a balance and living in harmony with technology is what I believe we’ll eventually realize we must do. However, I don’t think that we’ve even begun to realize that we much search for that, let alone begun the search at all.

Predicting the iPhone’s Impact on Computing History

Almost exactly one year ago I wrote about how I thought the iPhone was the future of mobile computing:

I am fully convinced that the iPhone, along with the developer tools Apple is providing, will lead the way for a new generation of mobile devices over the next few decades.

I don’t usually make such bold statements, especially given how fast technology changes and how quickly fads come and go, but the iPhone was different. It seemed like less of a phone and more of an enjoyable computing device; a toy for children, a toy and a smartphone for adults, and a beautiful piece of technology (as in looks) that people love to show off.

In Jeff Atwood’s latest blog post, he made similar statements that describe the revolutionary level at which the iPhone is changing the way we define mobile computing (talking about the latest iPhone 3GS):

A landmark, genre-defining product, no longer a mere smartphone but an honest to God fully capable, no-compromises computer in the palm of your hand.

We will look back on this as the time when “software” stopped being something that geeks buy (or worse, bootleg), and started being something that everyone buys, every day.

Jeff’s post gives a great overview of what’s amazing about the iPhone. He says to check back in fifteen to twenty years to see if he was right about his prediction on the historical impact the iPhone will have on computing. It looks like I’m one year ahead of you, Jeff. ;)

Clay Shirky on Newspapers and Thinking the Unthinkable

I just finished reading Clay Shirky’s post, Newspapers and Thinking the Unthinkable. It’s a bit long, but well worth the read. He gives excellent insight into what’s happening with the newspapers today and how technology will change journalism forever. He explains how what we’re going through now is the same thing we went through 500 years ago!

Most Innovation is Just Reinvention

On the radio this morning someone was explaining how several current technologies very closely resemble older technologies or ideas: Twitter is comparable to the telegram (they’re short), Facebook comparable to the first day of school (your interests, social networking, etc), and e-mail comparable to the Pony Express (postal service at extremely high speed). Most innovation is simply the reinvention of things that already exist and truly new ideas or inventions are few and far between.

Apple finally advancing laptop battery tech?

AppleInsider has an article taking a look at the battery technology used by the new 17″ MacBook Pro announced at Macworld today. Apple claims the new battery technology gives the MBP up to 8 hours of battery life — pretty impressive considering it’s the largest laptop Apple sells. Check out the battery video on Apple’s website to see exactly how the new battery technology differs (including clips of the manufacturing process). I’m really happy to see that someone is making a real effort to push laptop battery standards. It’s one of the areas in technology that really needs improvement.

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